{"id":335231,"date":"2017-01-02T23:00:23","date_gmt":"2017-01-03T07:00:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/?post_type=msr-event&#038;p=335231"},"modified":"2025-08-06T11:58:43","modified_gmt":"2025-08-06T18:58:43","slug":"uai-97-uncertain-reasoning-course","status":"publish","type":"msr-event","link":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/event\/uai-97-uncertain-reasoning-course\/","title":{"rendered":"UAI &#8217;97 Full-Day Course on Uncertain Reasoning"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n<p><strong>Venue:<\/strong>\u00a0<a class=\"msr-external-link glyph-append glyph-append-open-in-new-tab glyph-append-xsmall\" href=\"http:\/\/www.brown.edu\/\" target=\"_blank\">Brown University<span class=\"sr-only\"> (opens in new tab)<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>This one-day course on principles and applications of uncertain reasoning was given the day before the start of the main <a href=\"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/event\/uncertainty-artificial-intelligence-uai-97\/\" target=\"_blank\">UAI &#8217;97 conference<\/a>.<span id=\"label-external-link\" class=\"sr-only\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Opens in a new tab<\/span><\/p>\n<table class=\"msr-table-schedule\" style=\"border-spacing: inherit;border-collapse: collapse\">\n<thead class=\"thead\">\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<th class=\"th\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Time<\/th>\n<th class=\"th\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Session<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody class=\"tbody\">\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">8:25\u20138:30<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">\n<p><strong>Opening Remarks<\/strong><br \/>\n<i>Dan Geiger and Prakash P. Shenoy<\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">\n<p>Part I: Foundations<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">8:30\u20139:20<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">\n<p><b>Fundamental Principles of Representation and Inference<br \/>\n<\/b>Instructor: <em>Ross Shachter, Stanford University<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">9:20\u20139:30<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Discussion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">9:30\u201310:20<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><b>Graphical Models in the Real World<br \/>\n<\/b>Instructors:<em> Mark Peot and Michael Shwe, Knowledge Industries<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">10:20\u201310:30<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">\n<p>Discussion<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">10:30\u201311:00<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Coffee Break<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">11:00\u201311:50<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">\n<p><b>A Unifying View on Inference<br \/>\n<\/b>Instructor:<em> Rina Dechter, University of California\u2013Irvine<\/em><b><br \/>\n<\/b><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">11:50\u201312:00<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Discussion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">12:00\u20131:30<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Lunch<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Part II: Advanced Topics<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">1:30\u20132:20<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><b>Advances in Learning Bayesian Networks<br \/>\n<\/b>Instructor:<i> David Heckerman, Microsoft Research<\/i><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">2:20\u20132:30<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Discussion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">2:30\u20133:20<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><b>Approximate Inference via Variational Techniques<br \/>\n<\/b>Instructor:<i> Michael Jordan, M.I.T.<\/i><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">3:20\u20133:30<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Discussion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">3:30\u20134:00<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Coffee Break<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">4:00\u20134:50<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><b>Causality: From Metaphysics to Inference and Reasoning I<br \/>\n<\/b>Instructor:<i> Judea Pearl, UCLA<\/i><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">4:50\u20135:00<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Discussion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">5:00\u20135:50<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><b>Causality: From Metaphysics to Inference and Reasoning II<br \/>\n<\/b>Instructor:<i> Judea Pearl, UCLA<\/i><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">5:50\u20136:00<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Discussion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><span id=\"label-external-link\" class=\"sr-only\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Opens in a new tab<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\t<div data-wp-context='{\"items\":[]}' data-wp-interactive=\"msr\/accordion\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"clearfix\">\n\t\t\t\t<div\n\t\t\t\t\tclass=\"btn-group align-items-center mb-g float-sm-right\"\n\t\t\t\t\tdata-bi-aN=\"accordion-collapse-controls\"\n\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t<button\n\t\t\t\t\t\tclass=\"btn btn-link m-0\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-bi-cN=\"Expand all\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--aria-controls=\"state.ariaControls\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--aria-expanded=\"state.ariaExpanded\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--disabled=\"state.isAllExpanded\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-class--inactive=\"state.isAllExpanded\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.onExpandAll\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\tExpand all\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span aria-hidden=\"true\"> | <\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<button\n\t\t\t\t\t\tclass=\"btn btn-link m-0\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-bi-cN=\"Collapse all\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--aria-controls=\"state.ariaControls\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--aria-expanded=\"state.ariaExpanded\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--disabled=\"state.isAllCollapsed\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-class--inactive=\"state.isAllCollapsed\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.onCollapseAll\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\tCollapse all\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"msr-accordion\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"m-0\" data-wp-context='{\"id\":\"accordion-content-2282\"}' data-wp-init=\"callbacks.init\">\n\t\t<div class=\"accordion-header\">\n\t\t\t<button\n\t\t\t\taria-controls=\"accordion-content-2282\"\n\t\t\t\tclass=\"btn btn-collapse\"\n\t\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--aria-expanded=\"state.isExpanded\"\n\t\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.onClick\"\n\t\t\t\tid=\"accordion-button-2281\"\n\t\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\tAdvances in Learning Bayesian Networks\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div\n\t\t\taria-labelledby=\"accordion-button-2281\"\n\t\t\tclass=\"msr-accordion__content\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--inert=\"!state.isExpanded\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-run=\"callbacks.run\"\n\t\t\tid=\"accordion-content-2282\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t<div class=\"msr-accordion__body\">\n\t\t\t\t<p><strong>Instructor:<\/strong>\u00a0David Heckerman, Microsoft Research<\/p>\n<p>David Heckerman will discuss methods for learning with Bayesian networks&#8211;namely, methods for updating the parameters and structure of a Bayesian network given data. He will begin with a review of Bayesian statistics, touching on the concepts of subjective probability, objective probability, random sample, exponential family, sufficient statistics, and conjugate priors. He will then discuss how methods for model averaging and model selection from Bayesian statistics can be adapted to Bayesian-network learning. Topics will include criteria for model selection, techniques for assigning priors, and search methods. Time permitting, he will discuss methods for handling missing data, including Monte-Carlo and Gaussian approximations. At least one real-world application will be presented.<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"label-external-link\" class=\"sr-only\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Opens in a new tab<\/span><\/p>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/li>\n\t\t<li class=\"m-0\" data-wp-context='{\"id\":\"accordion-content-2284\"}' data-wp-init=\"callbacks.init\">\n\t\t<div class=\"accordion-header\">\n\t\t\t<button\n\t\t\t\taria-controls=\"accordion-content-2284\"\n\t\t\t\tclass=\"btn btn-collapse\"\n\t\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--aria-expanded=\"state.isExpanded\"\n\t\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.onClick\"\n\t\t\t\tid=\"accordion-button-2283\"\n\t\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\tApproximate Inference via Variational Techniques\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div\n\t\t\taria-labelledby=\"accordion-button-2283\"\n\t\t\tclass=\"msr-accordion__content\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--inert=\"!state.isExpanded\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-run=\"callbacks.run\"\n\t\t\tid=\"accordion-content-2284\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t<div class=\"msr-accordion__body\">\n\t\t\t\t<p><strong>Instructor:<\/strong>\u00a0Michael Jordan, M.I.T.<\/p>\n<p>For many graphical models of practical interest, exact inferential calculations are intractable and approximations must be developed. In this tutorial Jordan will describe the principles behind the use of variational methods for approximate inference. These methods provide bounds (upper and lower) on probabilities on graphs. They are complementary to the exact techniques in the sense that they tend to be more accurate for dense networks than for sparse networks; moreover, they can readily be combined with exact techniques. Jordan will describe the application of variational ideas in a number of settings, including the QMR database. (This is joint work with Zoubin Ghahramani, Tommi Jaakkola, and Lawrence Saul).<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"label-external-link\" class=\"sr-only\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Opens in a new tab<\/span><\/p>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/li>\n\t\t<li class=\"m-0\" data-wp-context='{\"id\":\"accordion-content-2286\"}' data-wp-init=\"callbacks.init\">\n\t\t<div class=\"accordion-header\">\n\t\t\t<button\n\t\t\t\taria-controls=\"accordion-content-2286\"\n\t\t\t\tclass=\"btn btn-collapse\"\n\t\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--aria-expanded=\"state.isExpanded\"\n\t\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.onClick\"\n\t\t\t\tid=\"accordion-button-2285\"\n\t\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\tCausality: From Metaphysics to Inference and Reasoning I\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div\n\t\t\taria-labelledby=\"accordion-button-2285\"\n\t\t\tclass=\"msr-accordion__content\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--inert=\"!state.isExpanded\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-run=\"callbacks.run\"\n\t\t\tid=\"accordion-content-2286\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t<div class=\"msr-accordion__body\">\n\t\t\t\t<p><strong>Instructor:<\/strong> Judea Pearl, UCLA<\/p>\n<p>The traditional conception of Bayesian networks as carriers of conditional independence information is rapidly giving way to a causal conception, based on mechanisms and interventions. The result is a more natural understanding of what the networks stand for, what judgments are used in constructing these network and, most importantly, how actions and plans are to be handled within the framework of standard probability theory. Pearl&#8217;s aim in this tutorial is to explain the mathematical foundation and inferential capabilities of causal Bayesian networks, and to advocate their use as the standard tool of analysis. To this end, Pearl will focus on the non-controversial aspects of causation and on the basic tools and skills required for the solution of tangible causal problems. Philosophical speculations will be kept to a minimum. Starting with functional description of physical mechanisms. we will derive the standard probabilistic properties of Bayesian networks and show, additionally:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>How the effects of unanticipated actions can be predicted from the network topology<\/li>\n<li>How qualitative judgments can be integrated with statistical data (with unobserved variables) to assess the strength of causal influences<\/li>\n<li>How actions interact with observations<\/li>\n<li>How counterfactuals sentences can be interpreted and evaluated<\/li>\n<li>What assumptions are needed for inferring causes from data, and what guarantees accompany such inference<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span id=\"label-external-link\" class=\"sr-only\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Opens in a new tab<\/span><\/p>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/ul>\n\t<\/div>\n\t<span id=\"label-external-link\" class=\"sr-only\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Opens in a new tab<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This one-day course on principles and applications of uncertain reasoning was given the day before the start of the main UAI &#8217;97 conference at Brown University.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"msr-url-field":"","msr-podcast-episode":"","msrModifiedDate":"","msrModifiedDateEnabled":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_classifai_error":"","msr_startdate":"1997-07-31","msr_enddate":"","msr_location":"Providence, Rhode Island, USA","msr_expirationdate":"","msr_event_recording_link":"","msr_event_link":"","msr_event_link_redirect":false,"msr_event_time":"8:30 AM \u2013 6:00 PM","msr_hide_region":false,"msr_private_event":true,"msr_hide_image_in_river":0,"footnotes":""},"research-area":[13556],"msr-region":[197900],"msr-event-type":[197941],"msr-video-type":[],"msr-locale":[268875],"msr-program-audience":[],"msr-post-option":[],"msr-impact-theme":[],"class_list":["post-335231","msr-event","type-msr-event","status-publish","hentry","msr-research-area-artificial-intelligence","msr-region-north-america","msr-event-type-conferences","msr-locale-en_us"],"msr_about":"<!-- wp:msr\/event-details {\"title\":\"UAI '97 Full-Day Course on Uncertain Reasoning\",\"backgroundColor\":\"grey\"} \/-->\n\n<!-- wp:msr\/content-tabs --><!-- wp:msr\/content-tab {\"title\":\"Program\"} --><!-- wp:freeform --><p><strong>Venue:<\/strong>\u00a0<a class=\"msr-external-link glyph-append glyph-append-open-in-new-tab glyph-append-xsmall\" href=\"http:\/\/www.brown.edu\/\" target=\"_blank\">Brown University<\/a><\/p>\n<p>This one-day course on principles and applications of uncertain reasoning was given the day before the start of the main <a href=\"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/event\/uncertainty-artificial-intelligence-uai-97\/\" target=\"_blank\">UAI &#8217;97 conference<\/a>.<span id=\"label-external-link\" class=\"sr-only\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Opens in a new tab<\/span><\/p>\n<table class=\"msr-table-schedule\" style=\"border-spacing: inherit;border-collapse: collapse\">\n<thead class=\"thead\">\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<th class=\"th\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Time<\/th>\n<th class=\"th\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Session<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody class=\"tbody\">\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">8:25\u20138:30<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">\n<p><strong>Opening Remarks<\/strong><br \/>\n<i>Dan Geiger and Prakash P. Shenoy<\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">\n<p>Part I: Foundations<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">8:30\u20139:20<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">\n<p><b>Fundamental Principles of Representation and Inference<br \/>\n<\/b>Instructor: <em>Ross Shachter, Stanford University<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">9:20\u20139:30<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Discussion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">9:30\u201310:20<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><b>Graphical Models in the Real World<br \/>\n<\/b>Instructors:<em> Mark Peot and Michael Shwe, Knowledge Industries<\/em><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">10:20\u201310:30<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">\n<p>Discussion<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">10:30\u201311:00<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Coffee Break<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">11:00\u201311:50<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">\n<p><b>A Unifying View on Inference<br \/>\n<\/b>Instructor:<em> Rina Dechter, University of California\u2013Irvine<\/em><b><br \/>\n<\/b><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">11:50\u201312:00<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Discussion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">12:00\u20131:30<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Lunch<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Part II: Advanced Topics<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">1:30\u20132:20<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><b>Advances in Learning Bayesian Networks<br \/>\n<\/b>Instructor:<i> David Heckerman, Microsoft Research<\/i><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">2:20\u20132:30<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Discussion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">2:30\u20133:20<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><b>Approximate Inference via Variational Techniques<br \/>\n<\/b>Instructor:<i> Michael Jordan, M.I.T.<\/i><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">3:20\u20133:30<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Discussion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">3:30\u20134:00<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Coffee Break<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">4:00\u20134:50<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><b>Causality: From Metaphysics to Inference and Reasoning I<br \/>\n<\/b>Instructor:<i> Judea Pearl, UCLA<\/i><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">4:50\u20135:00<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Discussion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">5:00\u20135:50<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><b>Causality: From Metaphysics to Inference and Reasoning II<br \/>\n<\/b>Instructor:<i> Judea Pearl, UCLA<\/i><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"tr\">\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">5:50\u20136:00<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Discussion<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><span id=\"label-external-link\" class=\"sr-only\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Opens in a new tab<\/span><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:freeform --><!-- \/wp:msr\/content-tab --><!-- wp:msr\/content-tab {\"title\":\"Abstracts\"} --><!-- wp:freeform --><p>\t<div data-wp-context='{\"items\":[]}' data-wp-interactive=\"msr\/accordion\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"clearfix\">\n\t\t\t\t<div\n\t\t\t\t\tclass=\"btn-group align-items-center mb-g float-sm-right\"\n\t\t\t\t\tdata-bi-aN=\"accordion-collapse-controls\"\n\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t<button\n\t\t\t\t\t\tclass=\"btn btn-link m-0\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-bi-cN=\"Expand all\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--aria-controls=\"state.ariaControls\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--aria-expanded=\"state.ariaExpanded\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--disabled=\"state.isAllExpanded\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-class--inactive=\"state.isAllExpanded\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.onExpandAll\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\tExpand all\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span aria-hidden=\"true\"> | <\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<button\n\t\t\t\t\t\tclass=\"btn btn-link m-0\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-bi-cN=\"Collapse all\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--aria-controls=\"state.ariaControls\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--aria-expanded=\"state.ariaExpanded\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--disabled=\"state.isAllCollapsed\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-class--inactive=\"state.isAllCollapsed\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.onCollapseAll\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\tCollapse all\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"msr-accordion\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"m-0\" data-wp-context='{\"id\":\"accordion-content-2282\"}' data-wp-init=\"callbacks.init\">\n\t\t<div class=\"accordion-header\">\n\t\t\t<button\n\t\t\t\taria-controls=\"accordion-content-2282\"\n\t\t\t\tclass=\"btn btn-collapse\"\n\t\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--aria-expanded=\"state.isExpanded\"\n\t\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.onClick\"\n\t\t\t\tid=\"accordion-button-2281\"\n\t\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\tAdvances in Learning Bayesian Networks\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div\n\t\t\taria-labelledby=\"accordion-button-2281\"\n\t\t\tclass=\"msr-accordion__content\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--inert=\"!state.isExpanded\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-run=\"callbacks.run\"\n\t\t\tid=\"accordion-content-2282\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t<div class=\"msr-accordion__body\">\n\t\t\t\t<p><strong>Instructor:<\/strong>\u00a0David Heckerman, Microsoft Research<\/p>\n<p>David Heckerman will discuss methods for learning with Bayesian networks&#8211;namely, methods for updating the parameters and structure of a Bayesian network given data. He will begin with a review of Bayesian statistics, touching on the concepts of subjective probability, objective probability, random sample, exponential family, sufficient statistics, and conjugate priors. He will then discuss how methods for model averaging and model selection from Bayesian statistics can be adapted to Bayesian-network learning. Topics will include criteria for model selection, techniques for assigning priors, and search methods. Time permitting, he will discuss methods for handling missing data, including Monte-Carlo and Gaussian approximations. At least one real-world application will be presented.<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"label-external-link\" class=\"sr-only\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Opens in a new tab<\/span><\/p>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/li>\n\t\t<li class=\"m-0\" data-wp-context='{\"id\":\"accordion-content-2284\"}' data-wp-init=\"callbacks.init\">\n\t\t<div class=\"accordion-header\">\n\t\t\t<button\n\t\t\t\taria-controls=\"accordion-content-2284\"\n\t\t\t\tclass=\"btn btn-collapse\"\n\t\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--aria-expanded=\"state.isExpanded\"\n\t\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.onClick\"\n\t\t\t\tid=\"accordion-button-2283\"\n\t\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\tApproximate Inference via Variational Techniques\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div\n\t\t\taria-labelledby=\"accordion-button-2283\"\n\t\t\tclass=\"msr-accordion__content\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--inert=\"!state.isExpanded\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-run=\"callbacks.run\"\n\t\t\tid=\"accordion-content-2284\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t<div class=\"msr-accordion__body\">\n\t\t\t\t<p><strong>Instructor:<\/strong>\u00a0Michael Jordan, M.I.T.<\/p>\n<p>For many graphical models of practical interest, exact inferential calculations are intractable and approximations must be developed. In this tutorial Jordan will describe the principles behind the use of variational methods for approximate inference. These methods provide bounds (upper and lower) on probabilities on graphs. They are complementary to the exact techniques in the sense that they tend to be more accurate for dense networks than for sparse networks; moreover, they can readily be combined with exact techniques. Jordan will describe the application of variational ideas in a number of settings, including the QMR database. (This is joint work with Zoubin Ghahramani, Tommi Jaakkola, and Lawrence Saul).<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"label-external-link\" class=\"sr-only\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Opens in a new tab<\/span><\/p>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/li>\n\t\t<li class=\"m-0\" data-wp-context='{\"id\":\"accordion-content-2286\"}' data-wp-init=\"callbacks.init\">\n\t\t<div class=\"accordion-header\">\n\t\t\t<button\n\t\t\t\taria-controls=\"accordion-content-2286\"\n\t\t\t\tclass=\"btn btn-collapse\"\n\t\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--aria-expanded=\"state.isExpanded\"\n\t\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.onClick\"\n\t\t\t\tid=\"accordion-button-2285\"\n\t\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\tCausality: From Metaphysics to Inference and Reasoning I\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div\n\t\t\taria-labelledby=\"accordion-button-2285\"\n\t\t\tclass=\"msr-accordion__content\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--inert=\"!state.isExpanded\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-run=\"callbacks.run\"\n\t\t\tid=\"accordion-content-2286\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t<div class=\"msr-accordion__body\">\n\t\t\t\t<p><strong>Instructor:<\/strong> Judea Pearl, UCLA<\/p>\n<p>The traditional conception of Bayesian networks as carriers of conditional independence information is rapidly giving way to a causal conception, based on mechanisms and interventions. The result is a more natural understanding of what the networks stand for, what judgments are used in constructing these network and, most importantly, how actions and plans are to be handled within the framework of standard probability theory. Pearl&#8217;s aim in this tutorial is to explain the mathematical foundation and inferential capabilities of causal Bayesian networks, and to advocate their use as the standard tool of analysis. To this end, Pearl will focus on the non-controversial aspects of causation and on the basic tools and skills required for the solution of tangible causal problems. Philosophical speculations will be kept to a minimum. Starting with functional description of physical mechanisms. we will derive the standard probabilistic properties of Bayesian networks and show, additionally:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>How the effects of unanticipated actions can be predicted from the network topology<\/li>\n<li>How qualitative judgments can be integrated with statistical data (with unobserved variables) to assess the strength of causal influences<\/li>\n<li>How actions interact with observations<\/li>\n<li>How counterfactuals sentences can be interpreted and evaluated<\/li>\n<li>What assumptions are needed for inferring causes from data, and what guarantees accompany such inference<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span id=\"label-external-link\" class=\"sr-only\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Opens in a new tab<\/span><\/p>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/ul>\n\t<\/div>\n\t<span id=\"label-external-link\" class=\"sr-only\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Opens in a new tab<\/span><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:freeform --><!-- \/wp:msr\/content-tab --><!-- \/wp:msr\/content-tabs -->","tab-content":[{"id":0,"name":"Program","content":"<table class=\"msr-table-schedule\" style=\"border-spacing: inherit;border-collapse: collapse\">\r\n<thead class=\"thead\">\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<th class=\"th\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Time<\/th>\r\n<th class=\"th\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Session<\/th>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/thead>\r\n<tbody class=\"tbody\">\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">8:25\u20138:30<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">\r\n\r\n<strong>Opening Remarks<\/strong>\r\n<i>Dan Geiger and Prakash P. Shenoy<\/i>\r\n\r\n<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">\r\n\r\nPart I: Foundations\r\n\r\n<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">8:30\u20139:20<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">\r\n\r\n<b>Fundamental Principles of Representation and Inference\r\n<\/b>Instructor: <em>Ross Shachter, Stanford University<\/em>\r\n\r\n<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">9:20\u20139:30<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Discussion<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">9:30\u201310:20<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><b>Graphical Models in the Real World\r\n<\/b>Instructors:<em> Mark Peot and Michael Shwe, Knowledge Industries<\/em><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">10:20\u201310:30<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">\r\n\r\nDiscussion\r\n\r\n<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">10:30\u201311:00<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Coffee Break<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">11:00\u201311:50<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">\r\n\r\n<b>A Unifying View on Inference\r\n<\/b>Instructor:<em> Rina Dechter, University of California\u2013Irvine<\/em><b>\r\n<\/b>\r\n\r\n<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">11:50\u201312:00<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Discussion<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">12:00\u20131:30<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Lunch<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Part II: Advanced Topics<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">1:30\u20132:20<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><b>Advances in Learning Bayesian Networks\r\n<\/b>Instructor:<i> David Heckerman, Microsoft Research<\/i><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">2:20\u20132:30<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Discussion<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">2:30\u20133:20<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><b>Approximate Inference via Variational Techniques\r\n<\/b>Instructor:<i> Michael Jordan, M.I.T.<\/i><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">3:20\u20133:30<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Discussion<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">3:30\u20134:00<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Coffee Break<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">4:00\u20134:50<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><b>Causality: From Metaphysics to Inference and Reasoning I\r\n<\/b>Instructor:<i> Judea Pearl, UCLA<\/i><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">4:50\u20135:00<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Discussion<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">5:00\u20135:50<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><b>Causality: From Metaphysics to Inference and Reasoning II\r\n<\/b>Instructor:<i> Judea Pearl, UCLA<\/i><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr class=\"tr\">\r\n<td class=\"td-1-4\" style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">\r\n<div class=\"msr-table-schedule-cell\">5:50\u20136:00<\/div><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\">Discussion<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<td style=\"padding: inherit;border: inherit\"><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>"},{"id":1,"name":"Abstracts","content":"[accordion]\r\n\r\n[panel header=\"Advances in Learning Bayesian Networks\"]\r\n\r\n<strong>Instructor:<\/strong>\u00a0David Heckerman, Microsoft Research\r\n\r\nDavid Heckerman will discuss methods for learning with Bayesian networks--namely, methods for updating the parameters and structure of a Bayesian network given data. He will begin with a review of Bayesian statistics, touching on the concepts of subjective probability, objective probability, random sample, exponential family, sufficient statistics, and conjugate priors. He will then discuss how methods for model averaging and model selection from Bayesian statistics can be adapted to Bayesian-network learning. Topics will include criteria for model selection, techniques for assigning priors, and search methods. Time permitting, he will discuss methods for handling missing data, including Monte-Carlo and Gaussian approximations. At least one real-world application will be presented.\r\n\r\n[\/panel]\r\n\r\n[panel header=\"Approximate Inference via Variational Techniques\"]\r\n\r\n<strong>Instructor:<\/strong>\u00a0Michael Jordan, M.I.T.\r\n\r\nFor many graphical models of practical interest, exact inferential calculations are intractable and approximations must be developed. In this tutorial Jordan will describe the principles behind the use of variational methods for approximate inference. These methods provide bounds (upper and lower) on probabilities on graphs. They are complementary to the exact techniques in the sense that they tend to be more accurate for dense networks than for sparse networks; moreover, they can readily be combined with exact techniques. Jordan will describe the application of variational ideas in a number of settings, including the QMR database. (This is joint work with Zoubin Ghahramani, Tommi Jaakkola, and Lawrence Saul).\r\n\r\n[\/panel]\r\n\r\n[panel header=\"Causality: From Metaphysics to Inference and Reasoning I\"]\r\n\r\n<strong>Instructor:<\/strong> Judea Pearl, UCLA\r\n\r\nThe traditional conception of Bayesian networks as carriers of conditional independence information is rapidly giving way to a causal conception, based on mechanisms and interventions. The result is a more natural understanding of what the networks stand for, what judgments are used in constructing these network and, most importantly, how actions and plans are to be handled within the framework of standard probability theory. Pearl's aim in this tutorial is to explain the mathematical foundation and inferential capabilities of causal Bayesian networks, and to advocate their use as the standard tool of analysis. To this end, Pearl will focus on the non-controversial aspects of causation and on the basic tools and skills required for the solution of tangible causal problems. Philosophical speculations will be kept to a minimum. Starting with functional description of physical mechanisms. we will derive the standard probabilistic properties of Bayesian networks and show, additionally:\r\n<ul>\r\n \t<li>How the effects of unanticipated actions can be predicted from the network topology<\/li>\r\n \t<li>How qualitative judgments can be integrated with statistical data (with unobserved variables) to assess the strength of causal influences<\/li>\r\n \t<li>How actions interact with observations<\/li>\r\n \t<li>How counterfactuals sentences can be interpreted and evaluated<\/li>\r\n \t<li>What assumptions are needed for inferring causes from data, and what guarantees accompany such inference<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n[\/panel]\r\n\r\n[\/accordion]"}],"msr_startdate":"1997-07-31","msr_enddate":"","msr_event_time":"8:30 AM \u2013 6:00 PM","msr_location":"Providence, Rhode Island, USA","msr_event_link":"","msr_event_recording_link":"","msr_startdate_formatted":"July 31, 1997","msr_register_text":"Watch now","msr_cta_link":"","msr_cta_text":"","msr_cta_bi_name":"","featured_image_thumbnail":null,"event_excerpt":"This one-day course on principles and applications of uncertain reasoning was given the day before the start of the main UAI '97 conference at Brown University.","msr_research_lab":[],"related-researchers":[],"msr_impact_theme":[],"related-academic-programs":[],"related-groups":[],"related-projects":[],"related-opportunities":[],"related-publications":[],"related-videos":[],"related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-event\/335231","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-event"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/msr-event"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-event\/335231\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1147200,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-event\/335231\/revisions\/1147200"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=335231"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"msr-research-area","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/research-area?post=335231"},{"taxonomy":"msr-region","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-region?post=335231"},{"taxonomy":"msr-event-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-event-type?post=335231"},{"taxonomy":"msr-video-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-video-type?post=335231"},{"taxonomy":"msr-locale","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-locale?post=335231"},{"taxonomy":"msr-program-audience","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-program-audience?post=335231"},{"taxonomy":"msr-post-option","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-post-option?post=335231"},{"taxonomy":"msr-impact-theme","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-impact-theme?post=335231"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}