{"id":150987,"date":"1988-01-01T00:00:00","date_gmt":"1988-01-01T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/msr-research-item\/rational-nonmonotonic-reasoning\/"},"modified":"2018-10-16T21:38:20","modified_gmt":"2018-10-17T04:38:20","slug":"rational-nonmonotonic-reasoning","status":"publish","type":"msr-research-item","link":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/publication\/rational-nonmonotonic-reasoning\/","title":{"rendered":"Rational Nonmonotonic Reasoning"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"asset-content\">\n<p>Nonmonotonic reasoning is a pattern of reasoning that allows an agent to make and retract (tentative) conclusions from inconclusive evidence. This paper gives a possible-worlds interpretation of the nonmonotonic reasoning problem based on standard decision theory and the emerging probability logic. The system&#8217;s central principle is that a tentative conclusion is a decision to make a bet, not an assertion of fact. They system is rational, and as sound as the proof theory of its underlying probability logic.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- .asset-content --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nonmonotonic reasoning is a pattern of reasoning that allows an agent to make and retract (tentative) conclusions from inconclusive evidence. This paper gives a possible-worlds interpretation of the nonmonotonic reasoning problem based on standard decision theory and the emerging probability logic. 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