{"id":371573,"date":"2017-03-16T12:11:32","date_gmt":"2017-03-16T19:11:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/?post_type=msr-research-item&#038;p=371573"},"modified":"2018-10-16T20:09:17","modified_gmt":"2018-10-17T03:09:17","slug":"parameter-estimation-target-directed-dynamic-system-model-switching-states","status":"publish","type":"msr-research-item","link":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/publication\/parameter-estimation-target-directed-dynamic-system-model-switching-states\/","title":{"rendered":"Parameter Estimation of A Target-Directed Dynamic System Model With Switching States"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In this paper, we describe an implementation of the extended Kalman filter (EKF) for joint state and parameter estimation for a target-directed, switching state-space nonlinear system model and compare its performance with a maximum-likelihood parameter estimation procedure based on the expectation\u2013maximisation (EM) algorithm. The model parameters consist of the target one and the time-constant one. Simulation experimental results are presented for individual and joint estimation of all model parameters for both algorithms. The results show that both algorithms are able to converge to the true target parameter in the model, with the EKF algorithm exhibiting faster convergence. This is true even under the target-undershoot condition when the observation sequence is relatively short. However, convergence to the true time-constant parameter is not evident, possibly due to the non-unique nature of the parameter estimation problem. We also show empirically that in the case of joint estimation of the parameters, the EM algorithm diverges shortly after a small number of iterations whereas the EKF algorithm gives more desirable convergence properties.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In this paper, we describe an implementation of the extended Kalman filter (EKF) for joint state and parameter estimation for a target-directed, switching state-space nonlinear system model and compare its performance with a maximum-likelihood parameter estimation procedure based on the expectation\u2013maximisation (EM) algorithm. The model parameters consist of the target one and the time-constant one. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"msr-url-field":"","msr-podcast-episode":"","msrModifiedDate":"","msrModifiedDateEnabled":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_classifai_error":"","msr-author-ordering":null,"msr_publishername":"Elsevier","msr_publisher_other":"","msr_booktitle":"","msr_chapter":"","msr_edition":"Signal Processing","msr_editors":"","msr_how_published":"","msr_isbn":"","msr_issue":"5","msr_journal":"Signal Processing","msr_number":"","msr_organization":"","msr_pages_string":"975-987","msr_page_range_start":"975","msr_page_range_end":"987","msr_series":"","msr_volume":"81","msr_copyright":"","msr_conference_name":"","msr_doi":"","msr_arxiv_id":"","msr_s2_paper_id":"","msr_mag_id":"","msr_pubmed_id":"","msr_other_authors":"","msr_other_contributors":"","msr_speaker":"","msr_award":"","msr_affiliation":"","msr_institution":"","msr_host":"","msr_version":"","msr_duration":"","msr_original_fields_of_study":"","msr_release_tracker_id":"","msr_s2_match_type":"","msr_citation_count_updated":"","msr_published_date":"2001-01-01","msr_highlight_text":"","msr_notes":"","msr_longbiography":"","msr_publicationurl":"http:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S0165168400002760","msr_external_url":"","msr_secondary_video_url":"","msr_conference_url":"","msr_journal_url":"","msr_s2_pdf_url":"","msr_year":0,"msr_citation_count":0,"msr_influential_citations":0,"msr_reference_count":0,"msr_s2_match_confidence":0,"msr_microsoftintellectualproperty":true,"msr_s2_open_access":false,"msr_s2_author_ids":[],"msr_pub_ids":[],"msr_hide_image_in_river":0,"footnotes":""},"msr-research-highlight":[],"research-area":[13556],"msr-publication-type":[193715],"msr-publisher":[],"msr-focus-area":[],"msr-locale":[268875],"msr-post-option":[],"msr-field-of-study":[],"msr-conference":[],"msr-journal":[],"msr-impact-theme":[],"msr-pillar":[],"class_list":["post-371573","msr-research-item","type-msr-research-item","status-publish","hentry","msr-research-area-artificial-intelligence","msr-locale-en_us"],"msr_publishername":"Elsevier","msr_edition":"Signal Processing","msr_affiliation":"","msr_published_date":"2001-01-01","msr_host":"","msr_duration":"","msr_version":"","msr_speaker":"","msr_other_contributors":"","msr_booktitle":"","msr_pages_string":"975-987","msr_chapter":"","msr_isbn":"","msr_journal":"Signal Processing","msr_volume":"81","msr_number":"","msr_editors":"","msr_series":"","msr_issue":"5","msr_organization":"","msr_how_published":"","msr_notes":"","msr_highlight_text":"","msr_release_tracker_id":"","msr_original_fields_of_study":"","msr_download_urls":"","msr_external_url":"","msr_secondary_video_url":"","msr_longbiography":"","msr_microsoftintellectualproperty":1,"msr_main_download":"","msr_publicationurl":"http:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S0165168400002760","msr_doi":"","msr_publication_uploader":[{"type":"url","title":"http:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S0165168400002760","viewUrl":false,"id":false,"label_id":0}],"msr_related_uploader":"","msr_citation_count":0,"msr_citation_count_updated":"","msr_s2_paper_id":"","msr_influential_citations":0,"msr_reference_count":0,"msr_arxiv_id":"","msr_s2_author_ids":[],"msr_s2_open_access":false,"msr_s2_pdf_url":null,"msr_attachments":[{"id":0,"url":"http:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S0165168400002760"}],"msr-author-ordering":[{"type":"text","value":"Roberto Togneri","user_id":0,"rest_url":false},{"type":"text","value":"Jeff Ma","user_id":0,"rest_url":false},{"type":"user_nicename","value":"deng","user_id":31602,"rest_url":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/microsoft-research\/v1\/researchers?person=deng"}],"msr_impact_theme":[],"msr_research_lab":[],"msr_event":[],"msr_group":[],"msr_project":[169434],"publication":[],"video":[],"msr-tool":[],"msr_publication_type":"article","related_content":{"projects":[{"ID":169434,"post_title":"Acoustic Modeling","post_name":"acoustic-modeling","post_type":"msr-project","post_date":"2004-01-29 16:42:42","post_modified":"2019-08-14 14:50:04","post_status":"publish","permalink":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/project\/acoustic-modeling\/","post_excerpt":"Acoustic modeling of speech typically refers to the process of\u00a0establishing statistical\u00a0representations for the feature vector sequences\u00a0computed from the speech waveform. Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is one most common type of acoustuc models. Other acosutic models include segmental models, super-segmental models (including hidden dynamic models), neural networks, maximum entropy models, and (hidden) conditional random fields, etc. Acoustic modeling also encompasses \"pronunciation modeling\", which describes how a sequence or multi-sequences of fundamental speech units\u00a0(such as phones or&hellip;","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-project\/169434"}]}}]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-research-item\/371573","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-research-item"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/msr-research-item"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-research-item\/371573\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":522800,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-research-item\/371573\/revisions\/522800"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=371573"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"msr-research-highlight","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-research-highlight?post=371573"},{"taxonomy":"msr-research-area","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/research-area?post=371573"},{"taxonomy":"msr-publication-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-publication-type?post=371573"},{"taxonomy":"msr-publisher","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-publisher?post=371573"},{"taxonomy":"msr-focus-area","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-focus-area?post=371573"},{"taxonomy":"msr-locale","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-locale?post=371573"},{"taxonomy":"msr-post-option","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-post-option?post=371573"},{"taxonomy":"msr-field-of-study","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-field-of-study?post=371573"},{"taxonomy":"msr-conference","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-conference?post=371573"},{"taxonomy":"msr-journal","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-journal?post=371573"},{"taxonomy":"msr-impact-theme","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-impact-theme?post=371573"},{"taxonomy":"msr-pillar","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-pillar?post=371573"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}