Research
Posted by George Thomas Jr. "Selma" director Ava DuVernay wasn't nominated, but she still could affect who wins the Oscar.(Photo by Atsushi-Nishijima. ©2014 Paramount Pictures) (Editor's Note: Researcher David Rothschild is receiving significant press coverage the day after the Oscars as he correctly predicted 20…
“Scottish independence: polls show it’s too close to call.” “Scotland’s vote likely to be a nail-biter.” “Scottish independence vote on a knife edge as polls put both Yes AND No ahead.” If there was any consensus in the days running up to the momentous Sept.…
Posted by Rob Knies When the world starts watching, it’s time for David Rothschild to shift into overdrive. Readers of this blog need little introduction to the work on prediction models from Rothschild, a Microsoft researcher and economist. Past posts have examined his efforts to…
Posted by David Rothschild The final voting for the India’s general election concludes at 6:30 PM local time on Monday, May 12 and, “as the voting closes in India, no one knows what the results will be.” There are total of 814 million eligible voters…
Posted by Rob Knies It’s been two years since Microsoft Research New York City was founded—and nine months since the lab established a permanent, bespoke home in the Flatiron District, smack dab in the middle of Silicon Alley. So how have things gone so far?Pretty…
Tweet Posted by Rob Knies March Madness, they call it, but David Rothschild is taking things to new extremes.Rothschild, an economist from Microsoft Research New York City, has been making a name for himself in the past few years. In 2012, he correctly predicted 50…
Tweet Posted by Rob Knies It’s mid-February, and the nominations for the 86th Academy Awards have been public for a month. Fans are scrambling to watch all the nominated films they can find. Film buffs debate the talents of Blanchett and Bullock until closing time.…
Tweet Posted by Steve Wiens Microsoft researcher David Rothschild is legendary for his ability to predict the future using a unique, rigorous approach to data analysis. He correctly called the results of the 2012 U.S. presidential election in every state but one. He nailed 19 of…
Posted by Rob Knies Last year, David Rothschild of Microsoft Research New York City used a versatile, data-driven model to predict correctly the results of the U.S. presidential election in 50 of 51 jurisdictions—the nation’s 50 states and the District of Columbia.Given the overwhelming accuracy—better…
Posted by Jennifer Chayes, managing director of Microsoft Research New York City The inaugural year of Microsoft Research New York City has been stupendous. All of us at Microsoft are thrilled with our newest lab. The lab officially opened on May 3, 2012, with the…
By Rob Knies, Managing Editor, Microsoft Research It’s a presidential election year in the United States, and that, we’ve learned, means that pollsters are on the prowl. The electorate for the forthcoming balloting will be sampled, questioned, categorized, sliced, and diced a zillion different ways…