January 3, 1999 January 6, 1999

Uncertainty 99

Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL, USA

Monday, January 4

Time Session Speaker
7:30–8:45

Registration/Continental Breakfast

8:45–9:00

Opening Comments

David Heckerman and Joe Whittaker
9:00–11:00

Session I: Model Choice
Chair: Thomas Richardson

Process-oriented evaluation: The next step Pedro Domingos
Model choice Alan Gelfand and Sujit Ghosh
A note on the comparison of polynomial selection methods Murlikrishna Viswanathan
Pattern discovery via entropy minimization Matthew Brand
11:00–11:30 Break
11:30–12:30 Session II: Latent variables
Chair: Kathyrn Laskey
On the geometry of DAG models with hidden variables Dan Geiger, David Heckerman, Henry King, Chris Meek
Efficient structure search in the presence of latent variables Thomas Richardson, Heiko Bailer, Mooulinath Bannerjee
12:30–1:30 Lunch (provided)
1:30–5:00 Break
5:00–6:00 Poster Summaries (2 mins/poster)
Chair: Joe Whittaker
6:00–7:00 Dinner
7:00–9:30 Poster Sessions

Tuesday, January 5

Time Session Speaker
8:00–9:00

Continental Breakfast

9:00–10:00

Session III: Theory
Chair:
David Madigan

Conditional products: an alternative approach to conditional independence

Phil Dawid, Milan Studeny
Hierarchical mixtures-of-experts for generalized linear models: some results on denseness and consistency Wenxin Jiang, Martin Tanner
10:00–10:30 Coffee Break
10:30–11:30 Session IV: Regression
Chair:
Padhraic Smyth
Boosting methodology for regression problems Greg Ridgeway, David Madigan, Thomas Richardson
Probabilistic kernel regression models Tommi Jaakkola, David Haussler
11:30–12:30 Session V: Computational Methods
Chair:
Padhraic Smyth
Learning structure from data efficiently: applying bounding techniques Nir Friedman, Lise Getoor
Efficient mining of statistical dependencies Tim Oates, Paul Cohen, Casey Durfee
12:30–2:00 Lunch (provided)
2:00–3:30 Session VI: Applications
Causal mechanisms and classification trees for predicting chemical carcinogens Louis A Cox
Geometric modelling of a nuclear environment Jan De Geeter
Modeling decision tree performance with the power law Lewis Frey, Doug Fisher
3:30–4:40 Business Meeting

Wednesday, January 6

Time Session Speaker
8:00–9:00

Continental Breakfast

9:00–10:30

Session VII: Inference
Chair:
Greg Cooper

Model-independent mean field theory as a local method for approximate propagation of information

Michael Haft, Reimar Hofmann, Volker Tresp
Hierarchical IFA belief networks Hagai Attias
Stochastic local search for Bayesian network Kalev Kask, Rina Dechter
10:30–11:00 Coffee Break
11:00–12:00 Session VIII: Applications
Chair:
Doug Fisher
An experiment in causal discovery using a pneumona database Peter Spirtes, Greg Cooper
Bayesian graphical models for non-compliance in randomaized trials David Madigan
12:00–12:15 Closing Remarks

Plenary Presentations lasted 25 minutes with 5 minutes for questions.