Portrait of David Rothschild

David Rothschild

Economist

About

David Rothschild is an economist at Microsoft Research. He has a Ph.D. in applied economics from the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania. His primary body of work is on forecasting, and understanding public interest and sentiment. Related work examines how the public absorbs information. He has written extensively, in both the academic and popular press, on polling, prediction markets, social media and online data, and predictions of upcoming events; most of his popular work has focused on predicting elections and an economist take on public policy. After joining Microsoft in 2012 he has been building prediction and sentiment models, and organizing novel/experimental polling and prediction games; this work has been utilized by Bing, Cortana, and Xbox. And, he correctly predicted 50 of 51 Electoral College outcomes in February of 2012, average of 20 of 24 Oscars from 2013-6, and 15 of 15 knockout games in the 2014 World Cup.

You can find David’s full biography at ResearchDMR.com.

Projects

Online and social media data as a flawed continuous panel survey

Established: April 9, 2014

If search and Twitter data are to be treated as a survey, they would follow a very peculiar methodology: participation is a time-varying, demographically biased sample of the population, participants are effectively continuously answering different “survey” questions, and, finally, participants…

Publications

2016

2015

2014

2013

Projects

MSR NYC Lab Opening Link description

MSR NYC Lab Opening

Date

May 16, 2014

Speakers

Duncan Watts, Fernando Diaz, Kate Crawford, David Rothschild, Justin Rao, Jennifer Chayes, Dan Huttenlocher, Kathy McKeown, danah boyd, and David Pennock

Affiliation

Microsoft Research New York City, Microsoft Research New England and New York City, Cornell Tech, Columbia University